Supplier playbook

Stop Chasing Ghost Projects: A 10-Minute Filter for Works Tenders When Budgets Are Tight

With 670 new tenders published yesterday and budget pressure mounting, you can't afford to chase every opportunity. This guide shows you how to quickly filter works and infrastructure tenders using award. Use IndexBox to validate market signals, then qualify one opportunity today with a clear bid/no-bid decision.

Quick start

First actions for today

Start with small, concrete steps and move from discovery to execution.

  • Filter daily new tenders by your core works categories and approved countries first.
  • For each potential tender, check historical award values for similar projects.
  • Assess winner concentration: Is this a realistic market for a new entrant?
Supplier playbook

How to start and what to do next

Read this once, then run the checklist below. Each step is designed to be actionable the same day.

The Morning Reality Check

Your team has three active bids, but the sales director forwards another 'urgent' tender from France. With only 29 days average to bid and budget stretched thin, you need a fast way to say no. Chasing everything burns cash and morale.

Start each day by scanning the 670 new opportunities. Immediately filter out anything outside your core works expertise. Look at the country list: France (167), India (119), Oman (102). Does your company have proven experience there? If not, that's your first 'no'.

Filter by Real Award Values, Not Just Estimates

The tender notice shows an estimated budget. That's a guess. What matters is what similar contracts actually awarded. Look for patterns in historical award values for comparable works projects in that country.

If past awards are consistently 40% below your cost envelope, you're priced out. If awards cluster tightly around one contractor, the market may be locked. Use this data before you read page one of the tender documents.

  • Check if the average awarded value for similar projects fits your pricing.
  • Look for winner concentration: Are 80% of awards going to the same 2-3 firms?
  • Note the sector: 95 new Works tenders yesterday. Focus there, not the 468 'Other'.

Execute Your Filter in IndexBox Tenders

Don't just browse. Use the database strategically. Go to the IndexBox Tenders page and use the filters. Start with 'Works' under Categories and select your target countries. Sort by publication date to see the latest.

For any interesting tender, click through to see if there's linked award history. Check the IndexBox Analytics feed for broader trends on winner concentration and average bid values in your sector. This takes 5 minutes, not 5 hours.

Avoid These Costly False Signals

A high-value estimate is tempting but can be a trap. Some buyers inflate estimates, leading to fierce, unprofitable bidding. Others have unrealistic budgets and cancel tenders. Look for tenders from repeat buyers with consistent award histories.

Don't mistake a short bid window (like 14 days) for an 'urgent' need you can fulfill. It often signals an incumbent renewal. Similarly, a very long window (over 60 days) can indicate a problematic or complex tender with low award probability.

  • False Urgency: Short deadlines often mean a pre-selected supplier.
  • Budget Mismatch: High estimate ≠ high award. Check historical data.
  • Scope Creep: 'Works' plus 'Consulting' may mean the buyer is unsure.

Execution checklist

Playbook
  • Filter daily new tenders by your core works categories and approved countries first.
  • For each potential tender, check historical award values for similar projects.
  • Assess winner concentration: Is this a realistic market for a new entrant?
  • Apply the 10-minute rule: If you can't find a clear path to win in 10 minutes of research, it's a 'no-bid'.
  • Log every 'no-bid' decision with the primary reason (e.g., 'award history shows pricing 50% below our cost').
  • Weekly, review your 'no-bid' log to refine your qualification criteria.